shillllihs 6,090 posts msg #133801 - Ignore shillllihs |
1/18/2017 4:58:52 PM
Inversely, throw Tvix in the filter. When Tvix encroaches, lower line of bollinger(10) when under Acc. Band(21), you tend to get a bounce. Pretty accurate.
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pthomas215 1,251 posts msg #133863 - Ignore pthomas215 |
1/24/2017 2:49:26 PM
shillihs, what % of your portfolio is in XIV on average? I think you said you hold onto some continuously.
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shillllihs 6,090 posts msg #133864 - Ignore shillllihs modified |
1/24/2017 3:27:20 PM
That's a good trade but I've taken it off do to being wishy washy and market seems frothy.
I've been in Ugaz, Uco, Ung and about to go long Tvix.
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shillllihs 6,090 posts msg #133865 - Ignore shillllihs |
1/24/2017 3:38:10 PM
You can hold 20-25% Xiv through the correction and buy in 25% increments at key levels on the way down,
or 75% in one swoop at a perceived bottom. You will always have some skin in the game
in case you're wrong. BB. and Acc. B. are good for this.
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pthomas215 1,251 posts msg #133866 - Ignore pthomas215 |
1/24/2017 4:38:19 PM
good deal. I do think it is frothy. on my filters that pull up weak etf's, the ones that come up are vix related. gonna wait and buy in xiv as you suggest.
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shillllihs 6,090 posts msg #133871 - Ignore shillllihs |
1/24/2017 10:36:06 PM
This strategy should only be used in a an up trending market.
I bought a little Tvix.
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shillllihs 6,090 posts msg #133872 - Ignore shillllihs |
1/24/2017 11:03:30 PM
Good job Kevin. If you add this to C2, maybe you can grandfather or special price all SF
members in at $19 a month.
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Kevin_in_GA 4,599 posts msg #133878 - Ignore Kevin_in_GA |
1/25/2017 11:15:53 AM
I'm done with C2 - more focused on personal trading than marketing. Given the pricing and challenges with keeping subscribers for more than a few months, it is not really worth the time and effort that one puts in.
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shillllihs 6,090 posts msg #133879 - Ignore shillllihs modified |
1/25/2017 12:35:32 PM
Looking for a XIV reversion to the Weekly Acc.B(21) mid band sometime in the next 2 weeks.
How long can this really go on. Can't be long now. If candle goes red, I think it's on.
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Kevin_in_GA 4,599 posts msg #133880 - Ignore Kevin_in_GA |
1/25/2017 1:55:59 PM
Here's my thought - volatility is mean-reverting, but LACK of volatility is not. Or at least not at the same rate. I have been long XIV since 11/22 (in at $42ish) and added to my positions at $50. Still holding back a large majority of my capital, which in retrospect was stupid.
I will stay pat until the contango drops below 5%, and exit then. Will re-enter when contango is above 5% and the VXV contango is lower than the VIX contango (confirmation signal). Good luck.
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